1
Jess In Time
3yo Gelding · 8-6 · OR 74
Emerald Downs · Race 3 - Claiming · 1m
#2
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
42%
Place Prob
42%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.6
Today:
Class gap: -0.1
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | Emerald Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-05 | Emerald Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Emerald Downs | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-17 | Emerald Downs | ? | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2025-09-07 | Emerald Downs | ? | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 5
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength65%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 5. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09/2025 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 67% | -0.15 |
| 17/05/2026 | 8th | 11/4 | 86% | 0% | -0.86 |
| 31/05/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 05/07/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 25% | -0.33 |
| 18/07/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 60% | -0.22 |