3
Belle Of Edmonds
3yo Filly · 8-9 · OR 47
Emerald Downs · Race 4 - Maiden Claiming · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength57%
What the class read says
Favourable class profile — form adjusted for the quality of opposition looks competitive here. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 7.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.2
Today:
Class gap: +1.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-12 | Emerald Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-08-10 | Emerald Downs | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-07-21 | Emerald Downs | ? | 8th | 3rd | +4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 6
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength55%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07/2025 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 13% | -0.03 |
| 10/08/2025 | 9th | 13/2 | 66% | 11% | -0.55 |
| 12/07/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 63% | +0.26 |