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Bells And Whistles

8yo Mare · 8-10 · OR 72

Emerald Downs · Race 5 - Starter Allowance · 6f

#6

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 4.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Century Mile 30/04/2022 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 70 · 5f Fas 123 · below its mark30/04/2022 · OR 70 par30/04C8OR 70C8 @ Turf Paradise 21/12/2022 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 74 · 6f Fas 124 · beat its mark21/12/2022 · OR 74 parC8 @ Turf Paradise 02/01/2023 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 77 · 5f110y Slo 124 · below its mark02/01/2023 · OR 77 par2/01C8OR 77C8 @ Turf Paradise 17/01/2023 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 75 · 6f Fas 124 · below its mark17/01/2023 · OR 75 parC8 @ Turf Paradise 29/03/2023 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 75 · 4f110y Fas 124 · below its mark29/03/2023 · OR 75 par29/03C8OR 75C7 @ Turf Paradise 18/04/2023 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 75 · 7f110y Fm 122 · below its mark18/04/2023 · OR 75 parC8 @ Emerald Downs 19/06/2023 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 69 · 6f Fas 125 · below its mark19/06/2023 · OR 69 par19/06C8OR 69C8 @ Emerald Downs 27/08/2023 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 72 · 6f Fas 122 · below its mark27/08/2023 · OR 72 par27/08C8OR 72projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2023-08-27Emerald Downs?6th7th−1
2023-06-19Emerald Downs?8th9th−1
2023-04-18Turf Paradise?6th6th0
2023-03-29Turf Paradise?4th5th−1
2023-01-17Turf Paradise?4th5th−1
2023-01-02Turf Paradise?5th6th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/0417/0119/0627/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 6
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/04/20222nd2/189%75%-0.14
21/12/20221st9/276%100%+0.24
02/01/20235th7/491%20%-0.71
17/01/20234th9/276%40%-0.36
29/03/20234th9/276%57%-0.19
18/04/20236th8/158%0%-0.58
19/06/20238th8/158%0%-0.58
27/08/20236th12/137%17%-0.20