2
Eyelight
5yo Mare · 8-13 · OR 82
Emerald Downs · Race 5 - Starter Allowance · 6f
#4
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
10%
Place Prob
16%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 3.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.2
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | Emerald Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Emerald Downs | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-06-07 | Emerald Downs | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-10 | Emerald Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-08-24 | Emerald Downs | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-07-04 | Emerald Downs | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 6
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength40%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/04/2024 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 40% | -0.36 |
| 26/05/2025 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 29% | -0.08 |
| 14/06/2025 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |
| 04/07/2025 | 7th | 7/2 | 82% | 25% | -0.57 |
| 24/08/2025 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 10/05/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 07/06/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 27/06/2026 | 5th | 6/5 | 94% | 0% | -0.94 |
| 25/07/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 40% | -0.34 |