4

Manou Du Chene
4yo Filly · 0-0
Enghien · Prix De Pornic - Attele · 1m 2f 151y
#8
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼14
Strength8%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Dropping 14 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 7.0)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 18
Class gap: +14.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-29 | Enghien | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Vincennes | 4 | +14 | ||
| 2026-05-12 | Vincennes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-06 | Vincennes | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-04-21 | Vincennes | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-02-22 | Vincennes | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength92%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/03/2025 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 17/06/2025 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 10/08/2025 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 21/09/2025 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |
| 10/02/2026 | 10th | 80/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 22/02/2026 | 10th | 80/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 21/04/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 12/05/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 89% | +0.73 |
| 29/06/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |