1
Manzana
4yo Filly · 0-0
Enghien · Prix De Pornic - Attele · 1m 2f 151y
#7
Rank
Odds
80/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼13
Strength10%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 14 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 6.4)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 18
Class gap: +13.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-04 | Enghien | 5 | 11th | -5th | +13 |
| 2026-06-29 | Enghien | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Vichy | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-02 | Vincennes | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-05 | Vincennes | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-21 | Vincennes | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength37%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/01/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 63% | +0.05 |
| 10/02/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 67% | +0.01 |
| 09/03/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 03/04/2026 | 5th | 22/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 21/04/2026 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 05/05/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 02/06/2026 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 29/06/2026 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 04/07/2026 | 11th | 80/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |