3
Mermoz
4yo Gelding · 0-0
Enghien · Prix De Pornic - Attele · 1m 2f 151y
#6
Rank
Odds
80/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼8
Strength24%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 15 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C10.5
Today: 18
Class gap: +7.5
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 | Enghien | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-29 | Enghien | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Laval | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-21 | Vincennes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-03 | Vincennes | 18 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-20 | Vincennes | 3 | 6th | -12th | +15 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength38%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/12/2025 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 40% | -0.13 |
| 28/12/2025 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 28/02/2026 | 2nd | 28/1 | 0% | 92% | +0.92 |
| 20/03/2026 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 50% | -0.21 |
| 03/04/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 83% | +0.20 |
| 21/04/2026 | 5th | 11/4 | 86% | 73% | -0.12 |
| 03/06/2026 | 5th | 50/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 29/06/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 75% | +0.14 |
| 22/07/2026 | 9th | 80/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |