7

Moscantida Peal

4yo Filly · 0-0

Enghien · Prix De Pornic - Attele · 1m 2f 151y

#3

Rank

Odds

80/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move18
Strength0%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 4.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 18
Class gap: +18.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 27/12/2025 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 027/12C?C0 @ Enghien 10/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 0C0 @ Vire 18/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 018/03C?C0 @ Vincennes 31/03/2026 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 0C0 @ Cordemais 15/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR - · 1m6f9y Std 13415/04C?C0 @ Vincennes 21/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR - · 1m2f178y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 12/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 012/05C?C0 @ Enghien 29/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 0C0 @ Cabourg 21/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 021/07C?projClass-projected finish: 7th of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-21Cabourg?7th7th0
2026-06-29Enghien?3rd3rd0
2026-05-12Vincennes?5th5th0
2026-04-21Vincennes?2nd2nd0
2026-04-15Cordemais?6th6th0
2026-03-31Vincennes?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/1231/0312/0521/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 10
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength9%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/12/20255th20/10%50%+0.50
10/03/20262nd10/147%91%+0.44
18/03/20264th16/116%77%+0.61
31/03/20267th40/10%50%+0.50
15/04/20266th20/10%64%+0.64
21/04/20262nd7/282%93%+0.12
12/05/20265th3/184%56%-0.29
29/06/20263rd8/158%83%+0.25
21/07/20267th80/10%40%+0.40