8
My America
4yo Filly · 0-0
Enghien · Prix De Pornic - Attele · 1m 2f 151y
#2
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼15
Strength77%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 15 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.5
Today: 18
Class gap: +14.5
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-14 | Cabourg | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-12 | Vincennes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-02-06 | Vincennes | 3 | 4th | -14th | +15 |
| 2026-01-05 | Vincennes | 4 | 3rd | -14th | +14 |
| 2025-11-17 | Vincennes | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2025-11-01 | Laval | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength45%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/05/2025 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 06/10/2025 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 17/10/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 01/11/2025 | 12th | 66/1 | 0% | 35% | +0.35 |
| 17/11/2025 | 12th | 33/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 05/01/2026 | 3rd | 11/1 | 42% | 71% | +0.29 |
| 06/02/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 12/05/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 14/07/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |