6
Myrtille Marboula
4yo Filly · 0-0
Enghien · Prix De Pornic - Attele · 1m 2f 151y
#1
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
99%
Place Prob
89%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼15
Strength16%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 2 higher-class runs.
Dropping 15 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.5
Today: 18
Class gap: +14.5
Higher-class runs: 2
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 | Meslay Du Maine | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-06-29 | Enghien | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-21 | Vincennes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-16 | Enghien | 4 | +14 | ||
| 2026-03-20 | Vincennes | 3 | 8th | -10th | +15 |
| 2026-02-22 | Vincennes | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength35%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07/2025 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 10/08/2025 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 01/12/2025 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 12/12/2025 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 22/02/2026 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 46% | +0.46 |
| 20/03/2026 | 8th | 66/1 | 0% | 46% | +0.46 |
| 21/04/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 29/06/2026 | 2nd | 11/1 | 42% | 92% | +0.50 |
| 28/07/2026 | 12th | 33/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |