3
Filou Smiling
11yo Gelding · 0-0
Enghien · Prix De L'hotel De Ville - Attele · 1m 2f 151y
#12
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼8
Strength10%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 15 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 8.7 /10 (raw 7.8)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C10.5
Today: 18
Class gap: +7.5
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-16 | Enghien | 18 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Eauze | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-05-17 | Nimes | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Caen | 3 | 12th | -6th | +15 |
| 2026-04-28 | Vincennes | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-04-21 | Vincennes | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 12
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength15%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 12th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/01/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 17/03/2026 | 9th | 28/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 10/04/2026 | 9th | 100/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 21/04/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 65% | +0.65 |
| 28/04/2026 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 09/05/2026 | 12th | 66/1 | 0% | 21% | +0.21 |
| 17/05/2026 | 12th | 80/1 | 0% | 21% | +0.21 |
| 07/06/2026 | 12th | 80/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 16/07/2026 | 11th | 50/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |