6
Forrest Gump Set
11yo Gelding · 0-0
Enghien · Prix De L'hotel De Ville - Attele · 1m 2f 151y
#2
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
9%
Place Prob
15%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼15
Strength99%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 16 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.8 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.3
Today: 18
Class gap: +14.8
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-17 | Cabourg | 2 | +16 | ||
| 2026-06-25 | Enghien | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-01-24 | Vincennes | 3 | 2nd | -16th | +15 |
| 2026-01-15 | Vincennes | 4 | 3rd | -14th | +14 |
| 2026-01-08 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | 4 | 7th | -10th | +14 |
| 2025-12-16 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 12
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength13%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09/2025 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 93% | +0.93 |
| 15/09/2025 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 26/09/2025 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 25/10/2025 | 3rd | 7/4 | 91% | 85% | -0.06 |
| 16/12/2025 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 62% | -0.04 |
| 08/01/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 63% | +0.26 |
| 15/01/2026 | 3rd | 18/1 | 5% | 87% | +0.81 |
| 24/01/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 93% | +0.30 |
| 25/06/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 87% | +0.05 |