1
Hana D'occagnes
9yo Mare · 0-0
Enghien · Prix De L'hotel De Ville - Attele · 1m 2f 151y
#8
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼9
Strength10%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 2 higher-class runs.
Dropping 14 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C8.7
Today: 18
Class gap: +9.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 | Amiens | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-16 | Enghien | 18 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Vincennes | 4 | 9th | -8th | +14 |
| 2026-05-28 | Vichy | 4 | +14 | ||
| 2026-04-26 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-03-25 | Marseille-borely | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 12
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength15%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/12/2025 | 8th | 66/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |
| 05/01/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 62% | +0.25 |
| 18/01/2026 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |
| 28/01/2026 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 26/02/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 80% | +0.27 |
| 25/03/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 71% | +0.19 |
| 05/06/2026 | 9th | 100/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 16/07/2026 | 13th | 40/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 29/07/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |