4
Ibis Quick
8yo Gelding · 0-0
Enghien · Prix De L'hotel De Ville - Attele · 1m 2f 151y
#4
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
4%
Place Prob
10%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼9
Strength10%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 17 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C9.5
Today: 18
Class gap: +8.5
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-16 | Enghien | 18 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-04-28 | Vincennes | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-04-10 | Toulouse | 1 | 6th | -14th | +17 |
| 2026-03-17 | Enghien | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-04 | Amiens | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-02-16 | Vincennes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 12
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength53%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/11/2025 | 10th | 8/1 | 58% | 36% | -0.22 |
| 03/01/2026 | 12th | 20/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 27/01/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 87% | +0.02 |
| 16/02/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 69% | -0.04 |
| 04/03/2026 | 6th | 80/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 17/03/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 79% | +0.02 |
| 10/04/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 62% | +0.35 |
| 28/04/2026 | 13th | 12/1 | 37% | 29% | -0.07 |
| 16/07/2026 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 38% | +0.02 |