9
Ikilik
8yo Gelding · 0-0
Enghien · Prix De L'hotel De Ville - Attele · 1m 2f 151y
#10
Rank
Odds
22/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼12
Strength13%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 12 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 5.9)
Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 18
Class gap: +12.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 | Enghien | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Vincennes | 6 | 6th | -8th | +12 |
| 2026-05-06 | Graignes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-07-24 | Mauquenchy | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-07-16 | Le Mont-Saint-Michel | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2024-09-23 | La Capelle | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 12
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength44%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/01/2024 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 70% | +0.04 |
| 04/02/2024 | 5th | 17/2 | 55% | 64% | +0.08 |
| 01/06/2024 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 93% | +0.56 |
| 23/09/2024 | 9th | 4/1 | 79% | 47% | -0.32 |
| 16/07/2025 | 7th | 13/2 | 66% | 57% | -0.09 |
| 24/07/2025 | 9th | 17/2 | 55% | 33% | -0.22 |
| 06/05/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 12/06/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 02/08/2026 | 5th | 22/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |