12
Jismie Griff
7yo Mare · 0-0
Enghien · Prix De L'hotel De Ville - Attele · 1m 2f 151y
#3
Rank
Odds
125/1
Win Prob
4%
Place Prob
11%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼10
Strength98%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 13 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 6.1)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C8.3
Today: 18
Class gap: +9.8
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-02 | Pornichet | 5 | 10th | -6th | +13 |
| 2026-06-25 | Laval | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-02-13 | Nantes | 5 | 11th | -5th | +13 |
| 2026-02-09 | Graignes | 5 | +13 | ||
| 2026-01-09 | Vincennes | 18 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-12-17 | Vincennes | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 12
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength24%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/05/2025 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 90% | +0.06 |
| 13/06/2025 | 2nd | 3/10 | 98% | 91% | -0.08 |
| 30/07/2025 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 58% | +0.21 |
| 01/12/2025 | 5th | 22/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 17/12/2025 | 10th | 20/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 09/01/2026 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 13/02/2026 | 11th | 14/1 | 26% | 17% | -0.10 |
| 25/06/2026 | 8th | 80/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 02/07/2026 | 10th | 125/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |