8
Il Pleut Bergere
8yo Mare · 8-13
Enghien · Prix De La Porte De Plaisance - Monte · 1m 6f 64y
#4
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 4
Class gap: -2.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-16 | Vincennes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-18 | Vichy | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-28 | Nancy | 6 | 8th | 10th | −2 |
| 2026-03-04 | Amiens | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-12-12 | Graignes | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-10-15 | Feurs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 9
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06/2025 | 9th | 5/1 | 74% | 38% | -0.35 |
| 30/08/2025 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 14/09/2025 | 10th | 11/1 | 42% | 10% | -0.32 |
| 15/10/2025 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 67% | -0.15 |
| 12/12/2025 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 62% | -0.20 |
| 04/03/2026 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 28/03/2026 | 8th | 22/1 | 0% | 46% | +0.46 |
| 18/05/2026 | 1st | 40/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 16/06/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 80% | +0.33 |