1
Gioiello Roc
4yo Colt · 9-13
Enghien · Prix De La Place De Valois - Monte · 1m 6f 64y
#10
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength40%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.3
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-11 | Enghien | 3 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-06-26 | Enghien | 3 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-06-02 | Vincennes | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-05-13 | Vincennes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-02-28 | Vincennes | 3 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-02-15 | Vincennes | 4 | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 12
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength66%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/02/2026 | 9th | 28/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 13/05/2026 | 5th | 50/1 | 0% | 69% | +0.69 |
| 26/06/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 77% | +0.11 |
| 11/07/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 80% | +0.54 |