7

Laponie D'emma
5yo Filly · 9-13
Enghien · Prix De La Place De Valois - Monte · 1m 6f 64y
#2
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
5%
Place Prob
14%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.4 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-27 | Enghien | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-09 | Cholet | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-15 | Vincennes | 3 | +1 | ||
| 2026-04-23 | Laval | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-04-03 | Vincennes | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-02-27 | Vincennes | 5 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 12
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength74%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/04/2025 | 11th | 6/1 | 68% | 33% | -0.35 |
| 28/05/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 93% | +0.17 |
| 20/06/2025 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 80% | +0.01 |
| 01/08/2025 | 8th | 66/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |
| 18/09/2025 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 89% | +0.05 |
| 24/11/2025 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 78% | +0.41 |
| 27/02/2026 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 91% | +0.91 |
| 03/04/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 09/06/2026 | 9th | 66/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |