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8

Lerwick Perrine

5yo Gelding · 8-13

Enghien · Prix De La Place De Valois - Monte · 1m 6f 64y

#5

Rank

Odds

11/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

4%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength9%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.9)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Vincennes 16/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 13916/09C?C0 @ Vincennes 04/11/2025 · Pos 9th of 15 · OR - · 1m2f178y Std 139C0 @ Vincennes 26/11/2025 · Pos 7th of 15 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 13926/11C?C0 @ Vincennes 07/12/2025 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 139C0 @ Vincennes 24/12/2025 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 13924/12C?C0 @ Vincennes 08/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR - · 1m2f178y Std 1434 @ Enghien 13/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 14313/034C0 @ Vincennes 21/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 143C0 @ Enghien 23/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 14323/06C?projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-23Enghien?2nd2nd0
2026-04-21Vincennes?3rd3rd0
2026-03-13Enghien43rd3rd0
2026-03-04Amiens?0
2026-02-08Vincennes?4th4th0
2026-01-20Vincennes?0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/097/1213/0323/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 12
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength76%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/09/20251st17/255%100%+0.45
04/11/20259th25/10%43%+0.43
26/11/20257th33/10%57%+0.57
07/12/20254th20/10%73%+0.73
24/12/20257th20/10%45%+0.45
08/02/20264th22/10%75%+0.75
13/03/20263rd6/168%82%+0.13
21/04/20263rd7/163%82%+0.19
23/06/20262nd11/142%89%+0.47