9

Louve Angel

5yo Filly · 8-11

Enghien · Prix De La Place De Valois - Monte · 1m 6f 64y

#11

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move2
Strength46%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 5.3)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.3
Today: 4
Class gap: +1.7
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Vincennes 21/11/2025 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 12321/11C?C0 @ Vincennes 06/12/2025 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 134C0 @ Vincennes 30/12/2025 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 12330/12C?3 @ Vincennes 17/01/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 123 · HIGHER CLASS1 @ Vincennes 25/01/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 1m2f178y Std 139 · HIGHER CLASS25/011C0 @ Vincennes 26/05/2026 · Pos 12th of 16 · OR - · 1m2f178y Std 123C0 @ Vincennes 09/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 1239/06C?3 @ Enghien 04/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 139 · HIGHER CLASSC0 @ Enghien 26/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 1m3f40y Std 12326/07C?projClass-projected finish: 10th of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-26Enghien?5th5th0
2026-07-04Enghien35th4th+1
2026-06-09Vincennes?9th9th0
2026-05-26Vincennes?12th12th0
2026-01-25Vincennes17th3rd+3
2026-01-17Vincennes35th4th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/1117/019/0626/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 12
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength52%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 12.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/11/20258th40/10%22%+0.22
06/12/20253rd18/15%75%+0.70
30/12/20256th40/10%50%+0.50
17/01/20265th80/10%60%+0.60
25/01/20267th50/10%33%+0.33
26/05/202612th80/10%27%+0.27
09/06/20269th80/10%38%+0.38
04/07/20265th33/10%56%+0.56
26/07/20265th50/10%64%+0.64