10
Lutellia Monnerie
5yo Filly · 9-6
Enghien · Prix De La Place De Valois - Monte · 1m 6f 64y
#12
Rank
Odds
66/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.7
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-09 | Cholet | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-04-30 | Vincennes | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-03-19 | Caen | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-02-20 | Vincennes | 3 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2025-12-04 | Vincennes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-11-14 | Vincennes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 12
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength47%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 12th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/03/2025 | 3rd | 17/2 | 55% | 85% | +0.29 |
| 08/04/2025 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 69% | +0.06 |
| 03/10/2025 | 11th | 50/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 17/10/2025 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 80% | +0.22 |
| 14/11/2025 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 04/12/2025 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 20/02/2026 | 2nd | 40/1 | 0% | 93% | +0.93 |
| 19/03/2026 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 69% | -0.08 |
| 30/04/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |