5

Lynx D'urzy

5yo Gelding · 10-3

Enghien · Prix De La Place De Valois - Monte · 1m 6f 64y

#7

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move2
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 3.7)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.5
Today: 4
Class gap: -1.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Laval 04/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 1284/10C?C0 @ Enghien 13/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR - · 1m3f40y Std 128C0 @ Vincennes 18/11/2025 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 12818/11C?C0 @ Vincennes 24/12/2025 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 134C0 @ Vincennes 03/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 1m2f178y Std 1393/01C?C0 @ Vincennes 20/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 1325 @ Caen 25/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 15 · OR - · 1m4f39y Std 14325/0456 @ Salon-De-Provence 21/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 1m6f200y Std 143C0 @ Enghien 01/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR - · 1m3f40y Std 1431/08C?projClass-projected finish: 5th of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-01Enghien?3rd3rd0
2026-05-21Salon-De-Provence62nd4th2
2026-04-25Caen52nd3rd1
2026-01-20Vincennes?3rd3rd0
2026-01-03Vincennes?3rd3rd0
2025-12-24Vincennes?8th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/1024/1225/041/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 12
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength39%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/10/20252nd66/10%93%+0.93
13/10/20254th33/10%75%+0.75
18/11/20254th33/10%63%+0.63
24/12/20258th40/10%36%+0.36
03/01/20263rd40/10%82%+0.82
20/01/20263rd15/261%71%+0.11
25/04/20262nd5/174%93%+0.19
21/05/20262nd11/271%88%+0.16
01/08/20263rd14/126%80%+0.54