12
Madame Chenu
4yo Filly · 9-8
Enghien · Prix De La Place De Valois - Monte · 1m 6f 64y
#8
Rank
Odds
11/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼2
Strength72%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.4 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.8
Today: 4
Class gap: +2.3
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-04 | Enghien | 3 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-05-09 | Caen | 1 | 6th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2026-04-04 | Vincennes | 2 | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2026-02-08 | Vincennes | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-01-17 | Vincennes | 1 | 4th | 0th | +3 |
| 2025-12-26 | Vincennes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 12
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength85%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09/2025 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 69% | +0.32 |
| 09/11/2025 | 10th | 80/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 20/11/2025 | 7th | 22/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 26/12/2025 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 86% | +0.23 |
| 17/01/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 63% | +0.36 |
| 08/02/2026 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 44% | +0.39 |
| 04/04/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 82% | +0.29 |
| 09/05/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 69% | +0.69 |
| 04/07/2026 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 57% | +0.15 |