3
Manigod
4yo Gelding · 9-13
Enghien · Prix De La Place De Valois - Monte · 1m 6f 64y
#3
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
10%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼2
Strength47%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.5
Today: 4
Class gap: +1.5
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-21 | Saint Galmier | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Enghien | 3 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-05-26 | Vincennes | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-19 | Vincennes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-21 | Vincennes | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-04 | Vincennes | 2 | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 12
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength100%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09/2025 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 15/02/2026 | 7th | 100/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 20/03/2026 | 9th | 66/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 04/04/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 21/04/2026 | 7th | 22/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 19/05/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 26/05/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 04/07/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 71% | +0.35 |
| 21/07/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 69% | -0.10 |