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2

Lead Me On

5yo Gelding · 0-0

Enghien · Prix De Marnes-la-coquette - Attele · 1m 2f 151y

#3

Rank

Odds

5/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

4%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength7%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 5.1)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 4
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Caen 12/03/2026 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR - · 1m2f205y Std 012/0356 @ Reims 19/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 1m4f94y Std 05 @ Meslay Du Maine 09/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 09/045C0 @ La Capelle 19/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 0C0 @ Lyon-Parilly 26/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 16 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 026/04C?5 @ Amiens 11/06/2026 · Pos 11th of 13 · OR - · 1m3f204y Std 0C0 @ Enghien 29/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 029/06C?C0 @ La Capelle 07/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR - · 1m208y Std 0C0 @ La Capelle 20/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 16 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 020/07C?projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-20La Capelle?1st1st0
2026-07-07La Capelle?1st1st0
2026-06-29Enghien?3rd3rd0
2026-06-22Le Croise-Laroche?0
2026-06-11Amiens511th12th−1
2026-04-26Lyon-Parilly?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/0319/0429/0620/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength100%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/03/20268th14/126%42%+0.15
19/03/20263rd33/10%78%+0.78
09/04/20266th40/10%50%+0.50
19/04/20266th40/10%55%+0.55
26/04/20265th18/15%73%+0.68
11/06/202611th25/10%17%+0.17
29/06/20263rd50/10%78%+0.78
07/07/20261st6/168%100%+0.32
20/07/20261st5/287%100%+0.13