6

Licar Somolli

5yo Gelding · 0-0

Enghien · Prix De Marnes-la-coquette - Attele · 1m 2f 151y

#1

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

95%

Place Prob

76%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 8.6 /10 (raw 4.6)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Vincennes 20/09/2024 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 020/09C?C0 @ Enghien 19/10/2024 · Pos 5th of 15 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 0C0 @ Graignes 13/04/2025 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 013/04C?C0 @ Enghien 24/05/2025 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 0C0 @ Enghien 05/07/2025 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 05/07C?5 @ Meslay Du Maine 09/04/2026 · Pos 15th of 18 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 0C0 @ Laval 03/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 03/06C?C0 @ Enghien 23/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 143C0 @ Le Mans 13/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR - · 1m2f205y Std 013/07C?projClass-projected finish: 8th of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-13Le Mans?4th4th0
2026-06-23Enghien?5th5th0
2026-06-03Laval?9th9th0
2026-05-23Enghien40
2026-04-22Chateaubriant?0
2026-04-09Meslay Du Maine515th16th1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/0924/053/0613/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 10
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength80%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/09/20243rd4/179%80%+0.01
19/10/20245th5/174%71%-0.02
13/04/20252nd15/261%92%+0.31
24/05/20251st11/271%100%+0.29
05/07/20251st17/255%100%+0.45
09/04/202615th22/10%18%+0.18
03/06/20269th125/10%38%+0.38
23/06/20265th33/10%56%+0.56
13/07/20264th16/116%75%+0.59