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6yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 93
Gulfstream · Race 1 - Claiming · 1m
#5
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 7 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 4.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-20 | Gulfstream | ? | 9th | 7th | +2 |
| 2026-06-14 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-04-30 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-10 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-03-07 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/11/2025 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 13/12/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 24/01/2026 | 12th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 07/03/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 10/04/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 25% | -0.38 |
| 30/04/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |
| 23/05/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 40% | +0.03 |
| 14/06/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 60% | -0.16 |
| 20/07/2026 | 9th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |