3
Bakers Street
4yo Colt · 8-10 · OR 101
Gulfstream · Race 1 - Claiming · 1m
#1
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
70%
Place Prob
45%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength13%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-15 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-30 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-16 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-20 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-02-14 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-01-18 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 11
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength69%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08/2025 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 28/09/2025 | 7th | 6/1 | 68% | 0% | -0.68 |
| 02/01/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 40% | +0.24 |
| 18/01/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 88% | +0.40 |
| 14/02/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 75% | +0.09 |
| 20/03/2026 | 4th | 2/1 | 89% | 40% | -0.49 |
| 16/04/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 75% | -0.01 |
| 30/04/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 40% | -0.34 |
| 15/05/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 89% | +0.15 |