10

Eddie The Great

7yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 93

Gulfstream · Race 1 - Claiming · 1m

#11

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength47%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 4.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: +1.2
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Tampa Bay Downs 08/02/2025 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR 99 · 1m110y Fm 122 · below its mark08/02/2025 · OR 99 par8/02C8OR 99C8 @ Tampa Bay Downs 14/03/2025 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 100 · 1m110y Fm 120 · below its mark14/03/2025 · OR 100 parC8 @ Tampa Bay Downs 29/03/2025 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR 97 · 1m Fm 120 · below its mark29/03/2025 · OR 97 par29/03C8OR 97C5 @ Tampa Bay Downs 19/04/2025 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 101 · 1m Fm 118 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark19/04/2025 · OR 101 parC5 @ Gulfstream 05/07/2025 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR - · 1m70y Fas 117 · HIGHER CLASS5/07C5C8 @ Tampa Bay Downs 19/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 100 · 1m Fm 121 · below its mark19/11/2025 · OR 100 parC7 @ Tampa Bay Downs 13/12/2025 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 101 · 1m110y Fm 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark13/12/2025 · OR 101 par13/12C7OR 101C7 @ Tampa Bay Downs 27/12/2025 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR - · 1m Fm 118 · HIGHER CLASSC8 @ Gulfstream 20/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 98 · 1m Fm 122 · below its mark20/07/2026 · OR 98 par20/07C8OR 98projClass-projected finish: 6th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-20Gulfstream?3rd3rd0
2025-12-27Tampa Bay Downs?9th8th+1
2025-12-13Tampa Bay Downs?8th7th+1
2025-11-19Tampa Bay Downs?2nd2nd0
2025-07-05Gulfstream?8th4th+3
2025-04-19Tampa Bay Downs?1st-2th+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/0219/0413/1220/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 11
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength33%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 11.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/02/202511th13/266%0%-0.66
14/03/20253rd10/147%75%+0.28
29/03/20254th10/147%70%+0.23
19/04/20251st20/10%100%+1.00
05/07/20258th40/10%0%0.00
19/11/20252nd9/276%89%+0.13
13/12/20258th15/261%13%-0.48
27/12/20259th9/153%11%-0.42
20/07/20263rd14/126%71%+0.45