11

Hands Of Time

4yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 94

Gulfstream · Race 1 - Claiming · 1m

#3

Rank

Odds

11/8

Win Prob

10%

Place Prob

18%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength39%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 4.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Belmont At The Big A 28/09/2024 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 91 · 1m110y Gd 119 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark28/09/2024 · OR 91 par28/09C6OR 91C6 @ Belmont At The Big A 26/10/2024 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 92 · 1m110y Fm 119 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark26/10/2024 · OR 92 parC5 @ Gulfstream 11/04/2025 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 93 · 1m70y Fas 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark11/04/2025 · OR 93 par11/04C5OR 93C6 @ Delaware Park 28/05/2025 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 96 · 1m70y 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark28/05/2025 · OR 96 parC6 @ Saratoga 18/07/2025 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 94 · 1m110y Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark18/07/2025 · OR 94 par18/07C6OR 94C7 @ Saratoga 01/09/2025 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR 95 · 1m Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark01/09/2025 · OR 95 parC8 @ Tampa Bay Downs 01/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 95 · 1m110y Gd 119 · below its mark01/03/2026 · OR 95 par1/03C8OR 95C7 @ Gulfstream 23/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 92 · 1m110y Fm 126 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark23/04/2026 · OR 92 parC8 @ Gulfstream 06/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 88 · 1m70y Fas 126 · beat its mark06/06/2026 · OR 88 par6/06C8OR 88projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-06Gulfstream?1st1st0
2026-04-23Gulfstream?6th5th+1
2026-03-01Tampa Bay Downs?2nd2nd0
2025-09-01Saratoga?11th10th+1
2025-07-18Saratoga?8th6th+2
2025-05-28Delaware Park?4th2nd+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/0928/051/036/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 11
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength66%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 11.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/09/20243rd9/276%50%-0.26
26/10/20241st13/891%100%+0.09
11/04/20254th15/890%50%-0.40
28/05/20254th6/492%40%-0.52
18/07/20258th20/10%22%+0.22
01/09/202511th11/271%0%-0.71
01/03/20262nd2/189%89%-0.01
23/04/20266th7/282%17%-0.65
06/06/20261st11/893%100%+0.07