Kalik
6yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 103
Gulfstream · Race 1 - Claiming · 1m
#6
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 7 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 5.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-20 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2026-06-14 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-15 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-11 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2025-11-15 | Churchill Downs | ? | 12th | 11th | +1 |
| 2025-10-04 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/05/2025 | 2nd | 1/1 | 95% | 80% | -0.15 |
| 05/07/2025 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 86% | +0.59 |
| 06/09/2025 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 43% | -0.15 |
| 04/10/2025 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 15/11/2025 | 12th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 11/04/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 29% | -0.19 |
| 15/05/2026 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 56% | -0.10 |
| 14/06/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 20/07/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 38% | +0.01 |