4
Rashid
4yo Colt · 8-13 · OR 84
Gulfstream · Race 1 - Claiming · 1m
#10
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-16 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-03-15 | Gulfstream | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-02-15 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-01-16 | Gulfstream | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-12-24 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-11-02 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 11
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength15%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 11th of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07/2025 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 31/08/2025 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 14% | -0.02 |
| 19/09/2025 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 80% | +0.22 |
| 02/11/2025 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 24/12/2025 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 67% | +0.19 |
| 16/01/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 13% | -0.14 |
| 15/02/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 29% | +0.02 |
| 15/03/2026 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 16/04/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |