Virginia City
5yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 87
Gulfstream · Race 1 - Claiming · 1m
#9
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 4.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-12 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-02-08 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-11-16 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-09-14 | Monmouth Park | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2025-08-17 | Monmouth Park | ? | 1st | -1th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04/2025 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 44% | -0.16 |
| 25/05/2025 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 17% | -0.52 |
| 04/07/2025 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 17/08/2025 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 14/09/2025 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 14% | -0.12 |
| 16/11/2025 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 08/02/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 25% | -0.22 |
| 07/06/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 12/07/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 75% | +0.07 |