5
Annie Goodbody
4yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 89
Gulfstream · Race 10 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m
#3
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
11%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength23%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Dropping 6 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-07 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-08 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-04-18 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-03-15 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-02-22 | Gulfstream | ? | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-01-18 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength81%
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 1st of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08/2025 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 75% | +0.22 |
| 04/10/2025 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 14% | -0.38 |
| 01/11/2025 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 18/01/2026 | 4th | 11/10 | 94% | 25% | -0.69 |
| 22/02/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 13% | -0.03 |
| 15/03/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 18/04/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 38% | -0.10 |
| 08/05/2026 | 3rd | 7/4 | 91% | 60% | -0.31 |
| 07/06/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |