4
Logistics
5yo Mare · 9-0 · OR 87
Gulfstream · Race 10 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m
#6
Rank
Odds
13/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength1%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-11 | Gulfstream | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-15 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-17 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-29 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-03-05 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 9
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength30%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10/2025 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 33% | -0.32 |
| 15/11/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 12/02/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 43% | -0.28 |
| 05/03/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 29/03/2026 | 3rd | 5/4 | 93% | 71% | -0.22 |
| 17/04/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 40% | -0.44 |
| 15/05/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 75% | -0.04 |
| 12/06/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 63% | -0.19 |
| 11/07/2026 | 8th | 13/2 | 66% | 13% | -0.53 |