2
Plagne Champagne
5yo Mare · 9-0 · OR 84
Gulfstream · Race 10 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m
#2
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
12%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-11 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-15 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-17 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-12 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-01-24 | Gulfstream | ? | 9th | 8th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 9
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength70%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10/2025 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 75% | -0.01 |
| 09/11/2025 | 2nd | 11/10 | 94% | 88% | -0.07 |
| 11/12/2025 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 24/01/2026 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 20% | -0.17 |
| 12/02/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 57% | +0.05 |
| 17/04/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 60% | -0.16 |
| 15/05/2026 | 7th | 9/4 | 88% | 25% | -0.63 |
| 13/06/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 11/07/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 88% | +0.06 |