Puckered
5yo Mare · 9-0 · OR 73
Gulfstream · Race 10 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m
#8
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 4.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-06-07 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-24 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-05-09 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-19 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-03-29 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/01/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 29% | +0.13 |
| 01/02/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 26/02/2026 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 29/03/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 19/04/2026 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 09/05/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 24/05/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 07/06/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 20% | -0.27 |
| 18/07/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |