3
Starship Elation
4yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 82
Gulfstream · Race 10 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m
#9
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-11 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-17 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-02-21 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-01-22 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-12-28 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 9
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength34%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10/2025 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 83% | +0.01 |
| 26/10/2025 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 75% | +0.28 |
| 30/11/2025 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 17% | -0.62 |
| 28/12/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 86% | +0.07 |
| 22/01/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 21/02/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 17/04/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 20% | -0.06 |
| 12/06/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 11/07/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |