Alinao Forever
4yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 84
Gulfstream · Race 2 - Claiming · 1m 70y
#1
Rank
Odds
8/15
Win Prob
33%
Place Prob
30%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 3.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-20 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-17 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-03 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-09-05 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-04-11 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 4th | +3 |
| 2025-03-13 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11/2024 | 1st | 20/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 06/12/2024 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 06/02/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 13/03/2025 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 11/04/2025 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 05/09/2025 | 6th | 11/10 | 94% | 0% | -0.94 |
| 03/04/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 17/05/2026 | 4th | 8/15 | 97% | 40% | -0.57 |
| 20/06/2026 | 3rd | 8/15 | 97% | 50% | -0.47 |