2
Candy Addiction
3yo Colt · 8-10 · OR 72
Gulfstream · Race 2 - Claiming · 1m 70y
#2
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
49%
Place Prob
37%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength15%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.6
Today:
Class gap: -0.1
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-04 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-30 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-10 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-03-22 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-02-28 | Gulfstream | ? | 9th | 7th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 7
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength5%
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/11/2025 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 40% | +0.24 |
| 03/01/2026 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 31/01/2026 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 28/02/2026 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 11% | -0.05 |
| 22/03/2026 | 6th | 11/4 | 86% | 17% | -0.69 |
| 10/04/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 30/04/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 40% | -0.31 |
| 05/06/2026 | 6th | 11/4 | 86% | 17% | -0.69 |
| 04/07/2026 | 1st | 16/1 | 16% | 100% | +0.84 |