Calling The Shots
4yo Filly · 8-13 · OR 65
Gulfstream · Race 3 - Claiming · 1m
#4
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 5.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-31 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 4th | +3 |
| 2026-02-07 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-01-09 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2025-10-24 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-09-19 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-06-28 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/01/2025 | 3rd | 50/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |
| 06/02/2025 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 25% | +0.09 |
| 19/03/2025 | 9th | 10/1 | 47% | 11% | -0.36 |
| 28/06/2025 | 7th | 13/2 | 66% | 33% | -0.32 |
| 19/09/2025 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 24/10/2025 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 75% | +0.38 |
| 09/01/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 07/02/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 83% | +0.23 |
| 31/05/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |