2
Queen Kwaina
3yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 57
Gulfstream · Race 3 - Claiming · 1m
#7
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-19 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-05-23 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-05-10 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-04-23 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-03-12 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09/2025 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 12/03/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 23/04/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 10/05/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 23/05/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 19/06/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 26/07/2026 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |