3
Trill
3yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 61
Gulfstream · Race 3 - Claiming · 1m
#2
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.9
Today:
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-04 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-22 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-04-09 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-03-19 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-01-30 | Gulfstream | ? | 10th | 8th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 8
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength55%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10/2025 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 40% | -0.42 |
| 25/10/2025 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 30/01/2026 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 19/03/2026 | 2nd | 11/10 | 94% | 80% | -0.14 |
| 09/04/2026 | 3rd | 5/6 | 96% | 50% | -0.46 |
| 22/05/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 75% | -0.04 |
| 12/06/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 04/07/2026 | 7th | 7/2 | 82% | 25% | -0.57 |