2
Megowan Street
3yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 52
Gulfstream · Race 4 - Maiden Claiming · 1m
#3
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength6%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-11 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-12 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-09-19 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 8
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength57%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09/2025 | 6th | 10/3 | 82% | 17% | -0.66 |
| 12/04/2026 | 7th | 10/3 | 82% | 40% | -0.42 |
| 02/05/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 60% | +0.13 |
| 23/05/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 88% | +0.27 |
| 06/06/2026 | 7th | 15/2 | 61% | 0% | -0.61 |
| 11/07/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 43% | -0.20 |