5

Solitary Passion

3yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 36

Gulfstream · Race 4 - Maiden Claiming · 1m

#8

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 7.8 /10 (raw 7.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Tampa Bay Downs 08/02/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR - · 7f 1198/02C9C9 @ Tampa Bay Downs 08/03/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 7f 1198/03C9C9 @ Tampa Bay Downs 22/03/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR 77 · 1m39y 118 · below its mark22/03/2026 · OR 77 par22/03C9OR 77C9 @ Gulfstream 23/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 49 · 1m110y 120 · below its mark23/05/2026 · OR 49 par23/05C9OR 49C9 @ Gulfstream 07/06/2026 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR 36 · 1m70y 120 · below its mark07/06/2026 · OR 36 par7/06C9OR 36C9 @ Gulfstream 05/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 26 · 1m 120 · beat its mark05/07/2026 · OR 26 par5/07C9OR 26C9 @ Gulfstream 27/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 24 · 1m110y Fm 122 · beat its mark27/07/2026 · OR 24 par27/07C9OR 24projClass-projected finish: 8th of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-27Gulfstream?7th7th0
2026-07-05Gulfstream?5th5th0
2026-06-07Gulfstream?10th10th0
2026-05-23Gulfstream?8th8th0
2026-03-22Tampa Bay Downs?10th10th0
2026-03-08Tampa Bay Downs?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/0223/0527/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 8
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength6%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 8.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/02/20266th66/10%17%+0.17
08/03/20267th50/10%14%+0.14
22/03/202610th40/10%0%0.00
23/05/20268th50/10%13%+0.13
07/06/202610th50/10%10%+0.10
05/07/20265th40/10%20%+0.20
27/07/20267th50/10%0%0.00