4
Lobo Go
4yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 62
Gulfstream · Race 5 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#9
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.7
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-11 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-24 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-08 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-18 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-14 | Gulfstream | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-02-05 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength14%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08/2025 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 26/12/2025 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 25% | -0.46 |
| 23/01/2026 | 7th | 13/2 | 66% | 14% | -0.52 |
| 05/02/2026 | 1st | 20/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 14/03/2026 | 8th | 13/2 | 66% | 0% | -0.66 |
| 18/04/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 57% | +0.31 |
| 08/05/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 24/05/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 11/07/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |