3
Manhattan Boy
5yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 67
Gulfstream · Race 5 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#10
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength3%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-22 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-08 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-05 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength48%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/01/2026 | 12th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 05/02/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 27/02/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 05/04/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 08/05/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 20% | -0.06 |
| 22/05/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 12/06/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 60% | +0.13 |
| 04/07/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 25/07/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 20% | +0.04 |