Seaver
7yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 87
Gulfstream · Race 5 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 5.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-06 | Gulfstream | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-04-11 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-14 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-06 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-12-13 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2025-11-27 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08/2025 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 17% | +0.01 |
| 13/09/2025 | 12th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 18/10/2025 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 27/11/2025 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 13/12/2025 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 06/02/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 43% | -0.05 |
| 14/03/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 88% | +0.02 |
| 11/04/2026 | 6th | 15/8 | 90% | 29% | -0.62 |
| 06/06/2026 | 9th | 5/2 | 87% | 11% | -0.76 |