7
Sterling Harmony
7yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 73
Gulfstream · Race 5 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#8
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength3%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-22 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-09-07 | Gulfstream | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-08-01 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-07-06 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength58%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/04/2025 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 17% | -0.41 |
| 09/05/2025 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 22% | -0.04 |
| 14/06/2025 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 11% | -0.05 |
| 06/07/2025 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 43% | -0.05 |
| 01/08/2025 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 07/09/2025 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 22/05/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 19/06/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 18/07/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |